ZElder asked me to look at this match and post my $0.02. Well I can say from experience, having played soccer for a Portuguese team when I was younger, that they hate to lose and I was always afraid of the fans after a loss. I didn’t speak the language but I got the message when they spit, screamed and threw objects at us when we left the field.
Sporting Lisbon +1 (-110)
Lazio need a win and they need a win BIG and Vaslui must lose. If they both win, then Vaslui will be moving on with a better head to head record. Sporting have already qualified for the knock out stage and are bringing five reserve players with them to Rome.
Sporting is enjoying a four match winning streak. They have an attack mentality supported by a fantastic back four. This team has been suffocating its competitors by limiting their space on the field. Sporting has Speed and Wing Play vs. a Lazio team that relies on sluggish midfield Ball Possession.
Lazio are still stammering through the early part of their Serie A season. They have been inconsistent, it seems they have trouble holding on to leads, and from what I have been reading are struggling to maintain TOP match fitness levels (it’s probably why they are blowing a lot of leads).
I know how bad the Portuguese love to win every game, Domingo was quoted as saying they will play to win (come on - who doesn’t). But he has to consider the fact that this game is meaningless, he will rest key players and as such I can’t back them 100% to win outright.
I believe the lines makers have factored in the fact that Sporting will be resting players and Lazio need to win. Unfortunately, attack football is an uncharacteristic style for Lazio who are facing an excellent defense. The forced attack plan may very well leave the Roman team exposed enough to lose. Risk vs. Reward leaves Lazio no other choice.
To answer ZElder’s initial question, I would back your Sporting Lisbon ML wager with Sporting Lisbon +1. There is an 80% chance that Lazio WILL NOT WIN by 2 or more goals and a 9% probability that Sporting Lisbon win straight up.
:toast:
Sporting Lisbon +1 (-110)
Lazio need a win and they need a win BIG and Vaslui must lose. If they both win, then Vaslui will be moving on with a better head to head record. Sporting have already qualified for the knock out stage and are bringing five reserve players with them to Rome.
Sporting is enjoying a four match winning streak. They have an attack mentality supported by a fantastic back four. This team has been suffocating its competitors by limiting their space on the field. Sporting has Speed and Wing Play vs. a Lazio team that relies on sluggish midfield Ball Possession.
Lazio are still stammering through the early part of their Serie A season. They have been inconsistent, it seems they have trouble holding on to leads, and from what I have been reading are struggling to maintain TOP match fitness levels (it’s probably why they are blowing a lot of leads).
I know how bad the Portuguese love to win every game, Domingo was quoted as saying they will play to win (come on - who doesn’t). But he has to consider the fact that this game is meaningless, he will rest key players and as such I can’t back them 100% to win outright.
I believe the lines makers have factored in the fact that Sporting will be resting players and Lazio need to win. Unfortunately, attack football is an uncharacteristic style for Lazio who are facing an excellent defense. The forced attack plan may very well leave the Roman team exposed enough to lose. Risk vs. Reward leaves Lazio no other choice.
To answer ZElder’s initial question, I would back your Sporting Lisbon ML wager with Sporting Lisbon +1. There is an 80% chance that Lazio WILL NOT WIN by 2 or more goals and a 9% probability that Sporting Lisbon win straight up.
:toast:
ope:
hno:
